• Beware a Prop W Higher Transfer Tax

    Transfer tax on the sale of most commercial property in San Francisco will increase if voters approve Proposition W.

    If approved, Prop W will increase the transfer tax rate by 0.25% for sales valued above $5 million (increase from $10/$500 in purchase price to $11.25/$500) and above $10 million (increase from $12.50/$500 in purchase price to $13.75/$500).

    The proposition would also create a new transfer tax threshold for sales valued at or above $25 million ($15/$500), for a transfer tax rate of 3%.  There would be no change in the calculation of transfer taxes for properties sold in San Francisco for less than $5 million.  The Controller estimates that such increase in transfer tax could generate average annual revenues of $45 million, but reminds voters that revenue from transfer tax “is the City’s most volatile revenue source, and estimates based on prior years’ activity may not be predictive of future revenues.”[1]

    Prop W provides no effective date, but the State Elections Code provides that “if a majority of the votes on a proposed ordinance are in its favor, the ordinance shall be considered as adopted on the date the vote is declared by the board of supervisors, and shall go into effect 10 days after that date.”[2] Further, the election results must be declared by Resolution of the Board of Supervisors no later than the fourth Friday following Election Day, which would be December 2, 2016.[3]

    In all, if Proposition W is passed, it is likely to go into effect on or prior to December 12, 2016.

    No one likes to see a closing date slip, an unexpected delay this year could be costly in San Francisco, particularly for sellers who by custom generally pay transfer tax in San Francisco County.

    The City’s Department of Elections website lists Supervisor Kim as the proponent argument author for Prop W, and the San Francisco Apartment Association as the opponent argument author.

    [1] City and County of San Francisco Voter Information Pamphlet & Sample Ballot, page 227

    [2] Cal. Elections Code Section 9122; San Francisco Elections Code Section 380.

    [3] Cal. Election Code Section 10263.

  • O Means Go: Prop O Will Create New Office Space at Candlestick Point and Hunters Point

    In a city hungry for development along the eastern waterfront, one large hurdle looms – the cap on new office space development.  The cap, imposed by the voters as Proposition M in 1986, limits new office development by square footage.  While the cap increases each year by 950,000 square feet, the recent building boom will soon subsume the office space that is available for allocation.

    Enter Proposition O on this November’s ballot. 

    Proposition O would exempt new office construction at Candlestick Point and Hunters Point from the existing cap, allowing development of the projects to continue.  San Francisco voters have previously supported these projects through Proposition G in 2008, which encouraged development in the area and allowed the City to implement a redevelopment plan that could include over 2 million square feet of office space and up to 885,000 square feet of retail and entertainment uses, 10,500 housing units, and approximately 330 acres of public parks and open space.

    Proponents argue that Proposition O will create essential jobs in the Candlestick Point and Hunters Point neighborhoods, both for construction jobs related to the development and a projected 17,000 permanent jobs once the projects are completed.  Supporters also point out that while the Proposition M office cap may make sense for downtown San Francisco, it is harder to justify limiting development in and around the old shipyard which is sparsely populated today.

    Opponents of this proposition argue that Proposition M was enacted to limit office development for a reason, and the fact that the City is close to the Proposition M cap means that the cap is finally working, not that it needs to be raised.

    Further, this ballot measure is a precursor to a broader discussion on whether the cap set by Proposition M should be raised for all development in the City, and under what conditions such an increase might occur.  ULI San Francisco has hosted several panels on the topic over the past few years, and the San Francisco Business Times has discussed the possibilities of such an increase here and elsewhere.

    For now, San Francisco voters can register their views on new office development under Proposition O while the larger office cap issue remains for another election.

    The City’s Department of Elections website lists Dr. Veronica Hunnicutt, Shamann Walton, Sophie Maxwell as the proponent argument authors for Prop O, and Calvin Welch as the opponent argument author.

  • Prop X Would Impose New PDR Replacement Requirements in SoMa and the Mission

    Production, Distribution, and Repair (PDR) space is a hot commodity in San Francisco.  Over the past few years, numerous organizations, policymakers, and elected officials have been engaged in efforts to preserve existing and create new PDR, community, and arts spaces, particularly in SoMa.  Supervisor Kim, who previously sponsored the moratorium on conversion of PDR space in SoMa that expired in October, has sponsored Proposition X for the November ballot.  Prop X would impose a conditional use and on-site replacement requirement for many new projects or changes of use that displace PDR, Institutional Community, or Arts Activities uses.

    The replacement requirements vary by zoning district, and would only apply within SoMa and the Mission as follows:

    • 100% replacement in the SALI district
    • 75% replacement in the UMU, MUO, and SLI districts
    • 50% replacement in the MUG and MUR districts

    For projects with Environmental Evaluation applications filed by June 14, 2016, the ballot measure contains partial grandfathering for 15,000 square foot-plus projects, and full grandfathering for smaller projects.  Full grandfathering is also provided for all projects approved by that date.  There are a number of other exceptions included in the ballot measure for Port, Recreation and Park Commission, and other properties and specific project types.

    The replacement requirements in Prop X are broader than those in the recently released Central SoMa Plan, which proposes 100% PDR replacement on parcels being rezoned from SALI to MUO or WSMUO, and 50% PDR replacement on parcels being rezoned from SLI to MUO.

    The Controller’s analysis projects a loss of revenue between $2.1 and $4.3 million annually, based on the lower assessed values of new property for PDR, Institutional Community, and Arts Activities uses.  Supervisor Kim is listed as the proponent argument author on the City’s Department of Elections website, and SPUR is listed as the opponent argument author.

  • A Plethora of Propositions: Real Estate Tax, Land Use and Governance on the San Francisco Ballot

    Admittedly the issues may appear benign compared to the Presidential race and the drugs, sex and other provocative topics on the state ballot.  But San Francisco voters again face a long list of significant local propositions on November 8th, and among them are a number of measures impacting real estate taxes, land use and governance.

    Unfamiliar Terrain summarizes the key measures impacting our industry:

    • Propositions L and M: Shifting authority from the Mayor to the Board with respect to San Francisco Municipal Transportation Authority and the Office of Economic and Workforce Development/Mayor’s Office of Housing and Community Development
    • Proposition O: Exempting office space in Hunter’s Point/Candlestick Point from the Proposition M office cap
    • Proposition U: Making affordable units available to low and moderate income households
    • Proposition W: Increase in transfer tax
    • Proposition X: Production, Distribution and Repair space replacement

    We hope that our summaries will help you navigate the issues.  And if all else fails, take a break and check out our “What We’re Reading” post.

  • What We’re Reading: November 4, 2016

    A roundup of news and articles the Unfamiliar Terrain team is reading this week:

    Africa unplugged” (The Economist): How will off-grid solar change patterns of urban and regional development?

    Visualizing the Toughest Challenges Facing Global Cities” (CityLab): Can enhanced data visualization help us tackle complex, interconnected urban problems?

    Is New York Too Expensive for Restaurateurs? We Do the Math” and “Art Dealers Move Out of the Gallery and Into a Taco Bell” (NYT): How can new restaurants and galleries stay afloat in competitive real estate markets?

    The Next Frontier for Energy Savings in Buildings and Cities: Tenant Spaces” (Natural Resources Defense Council): New opportunities for improving energy performance.

    Here’s How Self-Driving Cars Will Transform Your City” (Wired):  8 experts weigh-in.

    Uber’s New Goal: Flying Cars in Less Than a Decade” (MIT Technology Review): On-demand flying cars(!).

    Achieving Lasting Affordability through Inclusionary Housing” (Lincoln Institute of Land Policy): Recommendations on how to craft robust inclusionary housing based on the analysis of 20 inclusionary housing programs across the US.

    Half a House” (99% Invisible): How did slum upgrading and incremental housing techniques from the 1970s find their way into Pritzker Prize-winning architecture?

    Closing California’s housing gap” and “Urban world: Meeting the demographic challenge in cities” (McKinsey Global Institute): New McKinsey reports address housing needs and demographic change.

  • Prop U: Making Affordable Units Available to Low and Moderate Income Households

    Prop U dovetails with the City’s new increases in required affordable housing percentages by expanding the range of household income levels that would be eligible to rent an affordable housing unit. According to the Controller, this would increase rental revenue for property owners and tax revenue for the City.  The measure is part of an ongoing debate about the appropriate income range for defining eligibility for affordable units, and reflects a desire to expand the range to include more low/low moderate income families (as opposed to very low income).

    Prop U proposes to increase the qualifying household income cap from 55 to 110 percent of area median income. But it would retain the maximum allowable rent at 30 percent of a household’s annual income.

    Under the current 55 percent cap, a household living in an on-site affordable unit may pay up to $1,121 a month for a one-bedroom unit and $1,261 for a two-bedroom unit. Under Prop U, a qualifying household could pay up to $2,241 for a one-bedroom unit or $2,521 for a two-bedroom unit, but could also pay less, depending on income.

    The City’s Department of Elections website lists Thomas A. Hsieh as Prop U’s proponent, Supervisor Farrell as the proponent argument author, and the San Francisco Council of Community Housing Organizations as the opponent argument author.

  • What We’re Reading: October 21, 2016

    A roundup of news and articles the Unfamiliar Terrain team is reading this week:

    Top-Down, Bottom-Up Urban Design (The New Yorker): Updating Le Corbusier’s Athens Charter at the UN Habitat III conference and charting the course of future cities.

    San Francisco Makes a Guerilla Bike Lane Permanent (CityLab): The rise of the San Francisco Municipal Transformation Authority.

    A New Typology of Cities (CityLab): New metrics for urban form and productivity.

    A Tale of Blue Cities (LA Review of Books): Cities and voting trends.

    A Free Place for Designers to Work (NYT): creating a communal design and prototyping workspace in Brooklyn.

    Next Big Tech Corridor? Between Seattle and Vancouver, Planners Hope (NYT): A vision to rival Silicon Valley.

    Suburbs Will Soar on Wings of Tech (Bloomberg): Will tech propel suburban growth?

    The Return of the Utopians (The New Yorker): A brief survey of utopias in America.

    Cities Will Change When Cars Drive Themselves (Bloomberg): How self-driving cars might alter land use, traffic, and parking in cities.

  • Update: City Controller Recommends Reduction in Prop C’s Affordable Housing Percentages

    After several weeks of delays, on September 13 the City Controller released a study assessing the impacts of Prop C’s increases in the affordable housing percentage requirements for market rate developments.

    Whereas Prop C increased the required set-aside rate from 12 to 25 percent, the study recommends setting an initial on-site requirement of 14 to 18 percent for rental projects and 17 to 20 percent for ownership projects. The study, authorized by the Board of Supervisors in trailing legislation contingent on voters’ approval of Prop C in June, directed the Controller to assess the economic feasibility of current and increased inclusionary housing requirements under Prop C, and make recommendations in an advisory report. The Board of Supervisors will now consider the recommendations in setting the City’s inclusionary housing requirements.

    The study also recommends setting a schedule for incrementally increasing the inclusionary housing rate by .5% annually and phasing in the requirements over a 15 year period, with a study every 5 years. The City Controller and the Technical Advisory Committee—a group of affordable housing developers, advocates, community representatives, lenders, and real estate developers appointed by the Mayor and Board of Supervisors—unanimously endorsed these recommendations.

  • Coming Into Focus – Draft Central SoMa Plan Released

    The Planning Department released the Central SoMa Plan on August 11, 2016, updating the framework for developing the 230-acre neighborhood.  The Plan focuses on increasing density in a transit-rich area while emphasizing economic, social, and environmental sustainability.

    The full Plan is available here.

    Many aspects of the Plan involve the most-debated and legislated issues in San Francisco development today, including affordable housing requirements, PDR space, and new office development – leaving the Plan subject to further evolution following this fall’s election.

    Overview

    The Central SoMa Plan is the latest area plan developed by the Planning Department over the last twenty years.  The Plan includes major changes in land use designation and height and bulk districts, as reflected in the following new zoning maps:

     

     

     

     

     

    Key features of the Plan include:

    • Proposed height and bulk increases
    • Proposed affordable housing requirements and development fees based on the level of up-zoning for each property
    • Mello-Roos Community Facilities District covering the plan area
    • Production, Distribution, and Repair (PDR) space requirements (replacement and new developments)
    • Design Guidelines; and
    • Eco-District requirements

    Development fees in the Plan Area are based on tier system – the greater the increase in allowable development on a site, the higher the fees are.  Below Market Rate housing requirements in the plan area range from 16% for properties receiving the lowest level of up-zoning and constructing of new housing on-site, to 33% when such housing is provided off-site for properties receiving the highest levels of up-zoning.  A full listing of the proposed fees and Below Market Rate requirements can be found here.

    Election Issues

    The Plan’s Below Market Rate requirements are based on financial analysis completed before Proposition C was enacted earlier this year.  Proposition C generally sets the affordable housing levels for new projects at 25% for on-site and 33% for off-site, with such housing divided between low-income and middle-income households.  The levels set by Proposition C are subject to adjustment by the Board of Supervisors and the City Controller’s report, as discussed in more detail here.

    This November’s ballot also includes a proposition that would require conditional use authorization to convert PDR space into another use all across the Central SoMa Plan Area, along with required replacement of converted PDR space.  The measure is Proposition X, titled “Preserving Space for Neighborhood Arts, Small Businesses and Community Services in Certain Neighborhoods”, and was proposed Supervisor Kim.  Passage of Proposition X would add new requirements that would need to be taken into account in a revised version of the Plan.

    Next Steps

    The draft Plan is open for public comment, with the goal of submitting a version to the Planning Commission in November of 2016.  A draft EIR for the Plan is expected to be released this fall, with the goal of completing the final EIR in early 2017.

  • SF Planning Commission Moves Forward with Transportation Demand Management Program

    On August 4, the San Francisco Planning Commission took two actions to move forward the establishment of a citywide Transportation Demand Management (TDM) Program designed to shift San Franciscans out of cars and onto sidewalks, bicycles and public transit. The Planning Commission recommended that the Board of Supervisors approve an ordinance creating the citywide TDM Program, and simultaneously adopted TDM Program Standards to take effect if the Board of Supervisors approves the TDM Program ordinance.

    The next step is a likely October hearing before the Board of Supervisors’ Land Use and Transportation Committee—the ordinance was introduced at the Board’s September 6 meeting. This is the final component of the Planning Department’s three-part Transportation Sustainability Program. Last fall, the City approved new transportation fees (the “Invest” component). Earlier this spring, the Planning Commission changed the way transportation impacts are measured under the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA), using Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) instead of automobile delays at intersections, or Level of Service (the “Align” component).

    Although some TDM requirements are scattered across the City’s Planning Code for certain districts and project types, TDM requirements for new development are most frequently imposed through the CEQA process as mitigation for traffic impacts, or are included by developers as amenities or to reduce projected vehicle trip counts. The City’s move to Vehicle Miles Traveled as the CEQA standard for transportation impacts means that fewer projects will have significant transportation impacts to mitigate. The TDM Program contains a comprehensive set of requirements, requiring changes to City law by ordinance to require developers to include TDM measures in new projects. It mandates that developers meet certain TDM targets, chosen from a menu of TDM options, which increase as the number of on-site parking spaces increases. Retail and office uses will have more robust TDM requirements than residential uses, because of the larger number of vehicle trips generated by a retail or office parking space.

    For example, a 100-unit residential project offering 50 parking spaces would be required to earn 16 TDM “points” by incorporating TDM measures into the project—13 base points for parking spaces 1-20 and 1 point for each additional 10 spaces. To earn these points, the developer could, for example, improve walking conditions on project sidewalks, provide bicycle and car-share parking, sell or lease parking spaces separately from units (“unbundled parking”), and pay for resident transit passes. Within each of these categories, a range of TDM point options can be earned, with more intense efforts earning more points.

    New development projects of 10 or more residential units or 10,000 or more commercial square feet will be subject to the TDM Program requirements, as will be most changes of use of 25,000 or more occupied square feet. Projects triggering TDM Program requirements must submit a TDM Plan along with the first development application. Developers and property owners will need to prove compliance with the TDM Plan, by demonstrating TDM measures are in place prior to obtaining a certificate of occupancy, and by participating in ongoing monitoring and compliance after occupancy.

    As currently drafted, the law would give the Planning Department and Commission leeway to make future changes to the Program Standards, including the menu of TDM options, required points, and point values assigned to various TDM options. Projects will be required to comply with the Program standards in place at the time of their submission of a TDM Plan, making it critical to stay on top of Program changes and account for TDM measures in early project planning and design.